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Forecast

Intended audience: END-USERS DATA SCIENCE DEVELOPERS

AO Easy Answers: 4.3

Overview

Through time series analysis, the Forecast insight identifies the evolving future trend based on the past behavior of the time series data.

Purpose

The purpose of forecasting is to predict future sales based on historical data, helping businesses identify regular patterns and cycles in product sales over time.

Business Example

Retail companies analyze sales data to uncover trends and recurring patterns that affect how products perform. By forecasting future sales, businesses can make informed decisions about inventory, marketing, and staffing.

Scenario

A retail company aims to determine if there are consistent patterns in the sales of a specific product. For example, they might find that sales increase during particular times of the year, such as the holiday season, or on specific days of the week, like weekends. Recognizing these patterns is crucial for the company to plan effectively.

If the analysis shows that sales consistently spike during the holidays, the company can forecast these increases and prepare by stocking up on inventory and ramping up marketing efforts ahead of time. Conversely, if they identify slower sales periods, they can plan promotional activities to encourage customer purchases during those times.

Results

By forecasting sales and analyzing periodic patterns, the company can better anticipate fluctuations in demand. This proactive approach allows them to optimize inventory levels, schedule marketing campaigns, and align staffing to meet expected sales. As a result, the company can allocate resources more efficiently, enhance customer satisfaction, and improve overall sales performance.

Data Sample

Date

Sales

Day of the Week

Month

Promotion

Holiday

Weather

2022-01-01 00:00:00

24

Saturday

January

No

FALSE

Snowy

2022-01-02 00:00:00

34

Sunday

January

No

FALSE

Snowy

2022-01-03 00:00:00

15

Monday

January

No

FALSE

Sunny

2022-01-04 00:00:00

15

Tuesday

January

No

FALSE

Snowy

2022-01-05 00:00:00

20

Wednesday

January

No

FALSE

Sunny

2022-01-06 00:00:00

18

Thursday

January

No

FALSE

Snowy

2022-01-07 00:00:00

21

Friday

January

No

FALSE

Rainy

2022-01-08 00:00:00

39

Saturday

January

No

FALSE

Sunny

2022-01-09 00:00:00

33

Sunday

January

No

FALSE

Sunny

Infographics Insight

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Full Story Insight

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End User Configuration - using Easy Answers solution

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